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  • Forex / Форекс - SIA Real Trade
    do about income tax cuts first enacted during George W Bush s presidency that are scheduled to expire at the end of this year At the same time 1 trillion in automatic spending cuts will begin taking effect in January 2013 if Congress doesn t intervene The elections are going to clarify a lot of this said Senator John Thune a South Dakota Republican There s going to be a very clear contrast this fall He added I hope there is a clear mandate from the American people against the approach of President Barack Obama and congressional Democrats Borrowed Money This year s deficit may be larger than 1 1 trillion if lawmakers decide not to finance a continuation of a payroll tax break and expanded unemployment benefits with savings elsewhere in the budget Senator Ben Cardin a Maryland Democrat and a member of a House Senate panel trying to negotiate an extension said he supports financing jobless benefits with borrowed money We don t have to pay for all this Cardin told reporters yesterday Lawmakers don t typically offset the cost of unemployment assistance and doing so would reduce the stimulative effect on the economy of the benefits he said The economy will expand this year by 2 percent CBO said while the unemployment rate will probably climb to 8 9 percent from the current 8 5 percent Trading Blame Lawmakers traded blame over the budget deficit This report from the Congressional Budget Office serves as a harsh indictment of President Obama s failed policies House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan a Wisconsin Republican said in a statement The Republican controlled House has fought to put the brakes on the president s spending spree and continues to advance pro growth solutions Senate Budget Committee Chairman Kent Conrad said Obama called for a balanced approach to reducing the debt with both spending cuts and new revenue Conrad added Republicans must be willing to put revenue on the table and accept a tax code where everyone including the wealthiest pay their fair share Obama is scheduled to release his latest budget request to Congress on Feb 13 If lawmakers permanently extend the Bush era tax cuts abandon the automatic spending cuts and continue to protect doctors from scheduled cuts in Medicare NHEXNHMD payments the CBO said the deficit will total at least 900 billion annually for the foreseeable future 1 5 Trillion The deficit would reach 1 5 trillion by 2022 CBO estimated and the debt would reach levels unseen since the government was paying off its World War II expenses If all of the scheduled tax increases and spending cuts are allowed to take effect CBO said the deficit would shrink to 200 billion by 2018 The agency said that would be a blow to the economy that would drive the jobless rate to 9 2 percent by the fourth quarter of next year Three government trust funds meanwhile are projected to run dry in coming years the CBO said

    Original URL path: http://realtrade.lv/en/news/?id=1239&c=3 (2013-09-01)
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  • Forex / Форекс - SIA Real Trade
    137 000 last year rose by 145 000 in January after climbing 200 000 in December according to the median forecast of 81 economists surveyed by Bloomberg The unemployment rate probably held at 8 5 percent as factories added 13 000 jobs The labor market is improving very slowly but at least we re headed in the right direction said David Autor an economist at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in Cambridge Massachusetts Employment in health care is definitely going to continue rising and manufacturing jobs will see a recovery as demand picks up Falling Behind While factories still represent a larger share of the economy 12 percent of gross domestic product compared with 7 6 percent for health care they have fallen behind since 2008 as a percentage of total payrolls according to data compiled by Bloomberg News Health services accounted 11 percent of jobs in 2011 outpacing manufacturing s 9 percent The shift reflects productivity gains as factories produced more goods by replacing workers with technology and by shipping jobs overseas to cut costs Health services require more face to face interaction which means these jobs are protected from the forces of globalization Rupkey said We can t imagine a time when we ll be able to outsource the job of a home health aide giving a senior a bath or helping with physical therapy Openings in health care are more broadly distributed geographically even in economically distressed small towns where they often are all that s left said David Card an economics professor at the University of California Berkeley and director of the Labor Studies Program at the National Bureau of Economic Research Opportunities for Women They also provide pretty good opportunities particularly for women he said This was evident during the 18 month recession when health care added almost half a million positions while construction which typically employs more men shed 1 2 million workers More importantly the industry s projected expansion would generate more jobs young people can prepare for and absorb out of work Americans even those without education beyond high school once they adapt to the skills needed One of the few bright spots in retraining has been health care Card said That s a kind of reliable thing Opportunities range from home health aides who made an average of 21 760 in 2010 to surgeons whose annual wages averaged 225 390 BLS data show Nurse Training Program Sharon Rudolph 64 says she s studying to be a nurse alongside classmates who previously worked in real estate and banking as well as one who owns a nail salon The Fort Lauderdale Florida resident was a radiologic technologist for two decades before taking a break during the 1990s to raise her family Now she s in a 27 month training program at the city s Nova Southeastern University I felt I d become more marketable once I get out said Rudolph who ensured that her licenses including in registered diagnostic medical and cardiac sonography

    Original URL path: http://realtrade.lv/en/news/?id=1237&c=3 (2013-09-01)
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  • Forex / Форекс - SIA Real Trade
    for home prices over the next couple of years said Michelle Meyer a senior U S economist at Bank of America Corp in New York In the near term home prices will see a modest drop but once market clears the foreclosures a nice rebound will start to kick in The S P Case Shiller index based on a three month average is due at 9 a m New York time Survey estimates ranged from declines of 3 9 percent to 2 percent Home prices after adjusting for seasonal variations fell 0 5 percent in November from the prior month according to the Bloomberg survey median The year over year gauges provide better indications of trends in prices the group has said The panel includes Karl Case and Robert Shiller the economists who created the index Jobs and Income Falling joblessness and rising incomes have made Americans more optimistic which may spur demand and help stabilize prices In December the unemployment rate fell to an almost three year low of 8 5 percent Labor Department figures said Jan 6 Personal incomes climbed 0 5 percent last month the most since March the Commerce Department said yesterday The New York based Conference Board s consumer confidence gauge due at 10 a m probably rose to 68 this month from 64 5 in December the Bloomberg survey median shows Builders have become more upbeat about the housing market The National Association of Home Builders Wells Fargo sentiment index rose this month to the highest level since June 2007 as sales and buyer traffic improved Renewed Confidence We turn our attention to the spring selling season with a renewed sense of optimism not only because of our own improving trends but also because of the favorable signs we see in the economy new

    Original URL path: http://realtrade.lv/en/news/?id=1238&c=3 (2013-09-01)
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  • Forex / Форекс - SIA Real Trade
    News survey showed Sales GRFRINYY fell 0 9 percent from a year ago The statistics office said retail sales were 0 9 percent higher in 2011 than in 2010 Metro AG MEO Germany s largest retailer said on Jan 17 fourth quarter revenue fell 1 3 percent amid a disappointing Christmas season Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann said last week the German economy Europe s largest should return to robust growth this year after a temporary weak phase The economy should pick up in the second quarter said Gerd Hassel an economist at BHF Bank AG in Frankfurt who forecasts a 0 5 percent expansion in 2012 Private consumption will continue to boost growth this year albeit at weaker pace than in 2011 because increases in employment and wages will be more moderate The decline in German unemployment to its lowest since 1992 may slow as companies struggle to find workers for 1 million open jobs amid a shrinking population Labor Minister Ursula von der Leyen said in an interview on Jan 25 Germany s statistics office said on Jan 11 the economy probably shrank roughly 0 25 percent in the final three months of last year While growth slowed to

    Original URL path: http://realtrade.lv/en/news/?id=1236&c=3 (2013-09-01)
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  • Forex / Форекс - SIA Real Trade
    4 from a revised 92 8 in December the European Commission in Brussels said today That s less than the median prediction of 93 8 in a Bloomberg survey of 30 economists Some of the numbers are beginning to show signs of improvement Peter Dixon an economist at Commerzbank AG in London said before the report was released Things may have turned a corner Confidence is slowly returning to the market but we ve got a long way to go before we start to see a proper recovery setting in It does suggest the slide in activity we ve seen recently is going to be a fairly shallow one European Union leaders are meeting at a summit in Brussels today to discuss tougher budget rules while finding ways to spur economic growth and create jobs European Central Bank EURR002W President Mario Draghi said on Jan 19 that 2012 will be a much better year for the euro area though the International Monetary Fund forecast a euro area recession The euro was little changed after the data were released trading at 1 3130 at 11 08 a m in Brussels down 0 7 percent IMF Forecast A gauge of sentiment among European manufacturers held at minus 7 2 in January today s report showed An indicator of services confidence rose to minus 0 6 from minus 2 6 while a measure of consumer confidence increased to minus 20 7 from minus 21 3 the commission said The IMF forecast a recession for the single currency region with growth contracting 0 5 percent this year The ECB last month cut its 2012 growth forecast for the euro region to 0 3 percent from 1 3 percent Siemens AG SIE Europe s largest engineering company on Jan 24 reported earnings that missed estimates

    Original URL path: http://realtrade.lv/en/news/?id=1235&c=3 (2013-09-01)
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  • Forex / Форекс - SIA Real Trade
    two year yields dropped to the lowest since November 2010 The euro gained against the U S dollar every day last week climbing 2 2 percent on the week The European currency was down 0 5 percent at 1 3151 at 8 17 a m in Brussels We can say with caution that we see elements of financial stability in France in Europe and in the world French President Nicolas Sarkozy said in a nationally televised interview in Paris yesterday Europe is no longer at the edge of the cliff Debt Sales That optimism will be tested this week as European nations including Italy Belgium and Spain sell about 22 billion euros of debt securities Italy auctions as much as 6 billion euros of five and 10 year debt today along with securities due in April 2016 and March 2021 Belgium sells as much as 3 billion euros of bills tomorrow with Spain Portugal Germany and France issuing 13 different maturities during the week Attention before the Brussels summit turned to negotiations between the interim government of Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos and creditors The two sides were close to an agreement outlined by Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean Claude Juncker the Institute of International Finance negotiating on behalf of private creditors said in a Jan 28 statement after three days of talks in Athens Creditors are prepared to accept an average coupon of as low as 3 6 percent on new 30 year bonds said a person familiar with the talks who declined to be identified because a final deal hasn t been struck yet As recently as Jan 23 creditors wanted an average coupon of about 4 25 percent two people familiar with the talks said then That offer equated to a loss of about 69 percent on the net present value of Greek debt Last Minute The initial debt swap agreement with creditors three months ago sought to scale back Greece s debt to 120 percent of gross domestic product by 2020 The anticipated agreement on private sector involvement or PSI will open the way to a 130 billion euro second bailout from Greece s European partners and the International Monetary Fund for the country which faces a 14 5 billion euro bond payment March 20 A deal on PSI will be reached at the last minute Niall Ferguson a professor of economic history at Harvard University said in a Davos interview The trouble for Europe is the crisis won t be over as the Greek position remains unsustainable Any PSI deal will bring only temporary respite Greece now requires 145 billion euros for the second bailout 15 billion euros more than was agreed in October Der Spiegel reported Jan 28 citing an unidentified official from the troika in Greece As a possible condition of the bailout European policy makers are discussing plans to directly intervene in Greek budget decisions as the country struggles to cut its deficit according to two euro region government officials U K Refusal

    Original URL path: http://realtrade.lv/en/news/?id=1234&c=3 (2013-09-01)
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  • Forex / Форекс - SIA Real Trade
    percent at 9 41 a m London time Spain s two year notes also rose pushing the yield down five basis points to 2 61 percent Labor Market Reform The euro erased losses trading at 1 3127 at 10 53 a m in Madrid up 0 1 percent The number of households with all members out of work rose to 1 58 million and the unemployment rate among immigrants was 34 8 percent INE said This shows that the government has to carry out a labor reform that focuses on incentivizing hiring rather than just on cutting firing costs Estefania Ponte chief economist at Cortal Consors said by telephone in Madrid The unemployment rate could end the year at 24 percent Some people registered as unemployed may be working informally The government has said it will crack down on benefits fraud and limit cash transactions while Spain s underground economy may be worth the equivalent of about 19 percent of gross domestic product compared with 25 percent in Greece and 22 percent in Italy according to Friedrich Schneider an economics professor at the University of Linz in Austria Economic Contraction Spain s economy contracted 0 3 percent in the fourth quarter the Bank of Spain estimated on Jan 23 and may shrink 1 5 percent this year pushing the unemployment rate to 23 4 percent That forecast is based on the premise that the government will meet its target of trimming the budget deficit to 4 4 percent of GDP from about 8 percent last year The gloomy news from Europe contrasted with the U S where the economy probably expanded in the fourth quarter at the fastest pace of 2011 as consumer spending picked up and companies rebuilt stockpiles economists said before a report today Gross domestic product grew at a 3 percent annual pace after advancing 1 8 percent in the previous three months according to the median forecast of 79 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News Household purchases which account for about 70 percent of the economy may have climbed 2 4 percent the survey showed Long Slog Confidence picked up to the point where consumers were in a better mood to spend but not splurge said Sal Guatieri a senior U S economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto This is a marked improvement from the growth we saw in the past four quarters It s a long slog but we re gradually improving In Asia Japan s retail sales grew at the fastest pace in more than a year as a rebound in consumer spending propped up an economy reeling from the March earthquake and a deepening export slump Retail sales rose 2 5 percent in December from a year earlier the Trade Ministry said in Tokyo today the biggest advance since August 2010 and exceeding the 2 1 percent median forecast of 17 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News Consumers are gradually regaining their appetite said Yoshimasa Maruyama chief economist in Tokyo at Itochu Corp But

    Original URL path: http://realtrade.lv/en/news/?id=1233&c=3 (2013-09-01)
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  • Forex / Форекс - SIA Real Trade
    8 30 a m in Washington the Commerce Department s GDP report marks the first of three for the quarter with other releases scheduled in February and March when more information becomes available Growth estimates ranged from 2 4 percent to 4 5 percent in the Bloomberg survey The growth rate as estimated would be the strongest since the second quarter of 2010 The projected rise in consumer spending would be the biggest advance in a year and follow a 1 7 percent gain in the third quarter Auto Sales Auto sales underpinned demand Cars and light trucks sold at an average 13 4 million seasonally adjusted annualized rate in the final three months of 2011 the best since April June 2008 figures from researcher Autodata Corp show The increase in household spending was made possible by job growth Employers took on 853 000 workers in the second half of 2011 compared with 787 000 in the first six months and the unemployment rate dropped to an almost three year low of 8 5 percent in December A rebound in stock prices may have also given Americans the confidence to spend The Standard Poor s 500 Index rose 11 percent in the final three months of 2011 after slumping 14 percent in the prior quarter its worst decline since 2008 To meet growing demand and replenish inventories businesses placed more orders with manufacturers last quarter prompting a December gain in production that was the biggest in a year Fed data show Retail Purchases Consumers resilience nonetheless is still in question as households try to rebuild savings that cooled throughout last year Spending at retailers lost momentum each month in the fourth quarter slowing from a 0 7 percent gain in October to a 0 1 percent increase last month Merchants

    Original URL path: http://realtrade.lv/en/news/?id=1232&c=3 (2013-09-01)
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